The Tamil Nadu unit of the BJP was banking on the Ram temple ‘Prana Pratishtha’ at Ayodhya to get it the much-needed breakthrough in Tamil politics.
With the BJP’s nationwide management clamouring for 400 plus seats and a 50 per cent vote share, the Tamil Nadu unit of the get together desires to chip in as effectively with a couple of seats.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi, throughout his 11-day fasting interval earlier than the consecration operate was in Tamil Nadu for 3 days previous to his departure to Ayodhya.
Modi made public visits to outstanding temples in Tamil Nadu together with the Ranganathananda temple at Trichy, the Rameswaram temple and the Arulmigu Ramaswamy temple at Dhanushkodi.
Modi bathed in all of the 22 wells in Ramanathaswamy temple, Rameswaram and in addition took a dip within the sea whereas chanting mantras.
These public shows will certainly have an effect in Tamil Nadu and the BJP is anticipating to realize tremendously within the state, using piggyback on the Ram temple wave generated throughout India.
The get together is anticipating 5 seats from the state, which incorporates Kanniyakumari and Coimbatore the place the BJP had gained earlier.
However, the bottom state of affairs for the 2024 normal elections just isn’t good for the BJP in Tamil Nadu if it has no alliance with the AIADMK.
Being the principal Opposition get together, the AIADMK is a strong power in Tamil Nadu politics even now.
It misplaced the 2021 Assembly elections to the DMK by a small margin even after being in energy for ten years repeatedly.
The conceitedness of the Tamil Nadu BJP state President, Okay Annamalai, an IPS officer-turned-politician was the basis reason for the breaking of the AIADMK-BJP alliance.
Annamalai had criticised the doyen of all of the Dravidian actions of Tamil Nadu, C. Annadurai, aka Anna, the primary Chief Minister of the state from a Dravidian get together.
Annadurai is very revered within the state and plenty of social welfare schemes which have put Tamil Nadu within the prime league within the social index had been charted out by him.
KR Mukundan, Director, Institute of Policy and Social Studies, a assume tank based mostly out of Kanniyakumari advised IANS, “The public visits of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to prominent temples in the state, have given a big boost to the fortunes of the BJP in Tamil Nadu. However the party leadership should understand that they should not hurt Dravidian pride. Annamalai did that and his immature actions led to the AIADMK leaving the NDA alliance. This orphaned the BJP because without a Dravidian major it is very difficult for the BJP to make a mark in the elections here.”
Mukundan added that he wouldn’t be stunned if the BJP drew a clean within the 2024 normal elections within the state after the high-pitch political drama carried out by Annamalai lately.
Sources within the AIADMK and BJP advised IANS that some channels had been working in the direction of a patch up between the 2 events however the conceitedness and one-upmanship of Annamalai was working as a roadblock.
However, sources within the BJP central management advised IANS that Union Home Minister Amit Shah could be immediately speaking with Edappadi Okay. Palaniswami (EPS) to deliver the outstanding Dravidian get together again into the NDA fold.
If the alliance with the AIADMK materialises, the BJP could possibly win a minimal of three seats, together with in its robust turfs of Kanniyakumari and Coimbatore and another seat in South Tamil Nadu. However, the get together management and assume tanks are specializing in successful a minimal of 5 seats if the alliance materialises.
It could also be recalled that within the 2019 normal elections, the place the DMK alliance gained 38 of the 39 seats in Tamil Nadu, the DMK entrance acquired a whopping 53.15 per cent of the vote share whereas the AIADMK-led NDA alliance garnered 30.57 per cent.
In the NDA alliance the AIADMK may safe 19.39 per cent of the votes whereas the BJP may fetch solely 3.66 per cent votes. This reveals how troublesome it will likely be for the BJP to contest by itself in Tamil Nadu with out help from both of the Dravidian events.
It could also be recalled that the BJP gained 4 Assembly seats within the 2021 Assembly elections by means of a political alliance with the AIADMK. While the AIADMK garnered 33.29 per cent of the votes successful 66 Assembly seats, the BJP gained 4 seats and obtained solely 2.62 per cent vote share.
These figures clearly present how necessary the AIADMK is for the BJP in Tamil Nadu electoral politics.
While the BJP has been capable of create a powerful present vis-à-vis the Ram temple, the bottom realties will create main hurdles within the onward march of the saffron get together within the state.
Even although Annamalai is taken into account a very good chief, his conceitedness with the alliance companions and even the media has not gone down effectively with the nationwide management of the get together. However the BJP central management is making an attempt to take a median path and to capitalise on the Ram temple euphoria within the nation.